On Sunday, the Central African Republic will hold a crucial series of four votes, encompassing the presidency, national assembly, and municipal offices.
Seven candidates are vying for the top office, including former prime ministers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were cleared to run by the high court after being initially barred. Dologuélé was the runner-up in the 2015 and 2020 votes, while Dondra had a short tenure under the incumbent.
The challengers hopes to tap into widespread discontent in a country where violence remains a constant threat. More than half a million people are internally displaced, with a similar number living as exiles in neighbouring countries.
"This is an chance to commend the remarkable recovery of the nation," noted a UN regional official, adding that challenges persist.
Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a former mathematics professor, is widely expected to secure another term. He first entered politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, holding the post until a rebel coalition toppled the government in 2013, triggering a sectarian conflict.
After a turbulent transition period, his perceived neutrality from the warring factions fueled his second-round victory in 2016.
Concerns persist that supply-chain issues and violence could disrupt the electoral process, particularly in the countryside. The UN stabilization force, Minusca, is providing protection and organizational aid that the country's weak systems cannot manage.
Additional problems involve the electoral roll being published only online, a significant barrier in a nation with scarce online access. These issues have led to an opposition boycott and could, according to observers, "disenfranchise large segments of the electorate."
Many citizens worry that another term for TouadĂ©raâenabled by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and extended mandatesâwould mean expanded sway for outside interests.
The president has put faith in the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and even after its founder's death, has resisted calls to integrate its fighters into a successor entity. Meanwhile, Rwanda has pursued a different approach, focusing on business ventures within CAR.
Recent reports have claimed the administration evicted its own soldiers from a internationally financed facility to make way for a foreign-run agricultural project. A pro-opposition editorial accused the leadership of being "intent on dispose of the nation piece by piece."
Amid a recent peace accord with rebel groups offering hope of calm, the vote proceeds under a shadow of doubt and external competition.
Maya Chen is an urban planner and writer with over a decade of experience in sustainable city development and community engagement.